Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 12/05/25
Monday 12 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.7% |
Tuesday 13 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) |
|
0.9% | +6.8% | |
| 01:30 | 
|
Consumer Sentiment |
|
-6.0% | +2.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate (ILO) |
|
4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
Claimant Count Unemployment Change |
|
18.7k | +5.2k | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-81.2 | -77.0 | -82.0 |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
-14.0 | 11.9 | 25.2 |
| 13:30 | 
|
CPI Month on Month (sa) |
|
-0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
Wednesday 14 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -2.032Mln | -1.078Mln | 3.454Mln |
Thursday 15 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.1% | +4.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
1.5% | -0.5% | -0.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
2.2% | -0.5% | -0.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-20.809Bln GB | -19.400Bln GB | -19.869Bln GB |
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
0.3% | -0.5% | -0.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance Non-EU |
|
-8.578Bln GB | -6.834Bln GB | |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
0.1% | -0.9% | -0.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.7% | ||
| 07:45 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| 07:45 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
1.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Flash estimate Year on Year | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | |
| 13:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
214.2k | 227.5k | 278.6k |
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
-26.4 | -11.0 | -4.0 |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
228k | 229k | 229k |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Final Demand Month on Month |
|
-0.4% | 0.2% | -0.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI excl Food and Energy MM |
|
-0.1% | 0.3% | -0.4% |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Friday 16 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter | 0.6% | -0.1% | -0.2% | |
| 05:30 |
|
Industrial Production Revised |
|
-1.1% | 0.2% | |
| 06:30 |
|
ILO Unemployment Rate |
|
7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.7% | -0.3% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.2% | -0.6% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-0.361Bln EU | -2.453Bln EU | |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
24.0Bln EU | +36.8Bln EU | |
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.324Mln | 1.365Mln | 1.361Mln |
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