Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 02/12/24


Monday 02 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.1% 0.4% 0.6%
PMI Manufacturing   49.0 49.0
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.1% 0.4% +0.6%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.1% 0.2% 1.2%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.4% 2.4% 3.7%
PMI Manufacturing   46.9 45.7 44.5
PMI Manufacturing   43.2 43.2 43.1
PMI Manufacturing   43.2 43.2 43.0
Unemployment Rate   6.1% 6.1% 5.8%
PMI Manufacturing   45.2 45.2 45.2
PMI Manufacturing   48.6 48.6 48.0
GDP Final Year on Year   0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.3% 6.3% 6.3%
PMI Manufacturing   51.1 52.0
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 46.5 47.5 48.4

Tuesday 03 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Chart 0.3% -3.4%

Wednesday 04 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Final Year on Year GDP Final Year on Year Chart 1.0% 1.1%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.2% 0.4%
PMI Services   52.4 51.2
PMI Services   45.7 45.7
PMI Services   49.4 49.4
PMI Composite   48.1 48.1
PMI Services   49.2 49.2
PMI Services   50.0 50.0
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -3.4% -3.3%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.6% 0.4%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 233k 150k
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 56.0 55.5
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 57.4
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart -0.5% 0.2%
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 53.0
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 58.1
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 57.2
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -1.844Mln -2.060Mln

Thursday 05 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Month on Month   -0.9% 0.3%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.5% -0.3%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.9% 1.7%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 213k 215k
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -84.4Bln US -75.0Bln US
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -1.26Bln CA -0.79Bln CA

Friday 06 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -2.5% 1.2%
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart 0.2% 0.2%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -8.266Bln EU
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Chart 0.70%
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Chart 1.20%
Unemployment Year on Year Unemployment Year on Year Chart 1.0% 1.0%
GDP Revised Year on Year GDP Revised Year on Year Chart 0.9% 0.9%
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.4% 0.4%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.4% 0.3%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.5% 6.6%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.1% 4.2%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 12k 200k

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